Wednesday, May 18, 2011

China & the U.S., May 18 2011

Cullen Roche,
Pragmatic Capitalism
I wanted to pass along some excellent thoughts from Mark Lapolla of Knight Capital.  He was in the latest welling@weeden and had some excellent thoughts on the overall economic environment.

He touches on a variety of topics including some MMT, but the most interesting portion was his belief that China now resembles pre-depression USA or 1990′s Japan.

Lapolla is astounded at how the world has come to rely so heavily on a “repressive, communist regime employing command and control economic management while violating trade protections and human rights everywhere”.

Attached are the 8 reasons why Lapolla sees similarities between China and USA prior to the Great Depression:
1) Massive disparity of wealth, income and education
2)  Rapid industrialization and displacement of labor
3)  Opaque and misleading economic and financial data
4)  Massive build-up of leverage across the “rising class”
5)  Bubbles in both residential real estate and fixed asset/infrastructure development
6)  Accelerating and uncontrolled growth in disintermediated credit
7)  Expected transference of economic growth to domestic demand.
8)  An accelerating price/wage spiral
I highly recommend reading the piece in its entirety.

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